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DEEP STATS: A breakdown of State’s Loss to Purdue

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9 years ago

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Why State Lost: Offensively

NC State didn’t lose the game because they shot the ball poorly. Their effective field goal percentage of 50% was above their season average (48.7%). In fact, it was their third best shooting performance of the season thus far.

NC State didn’t lose because they turned the ball over. Through the first six games, the Wolfpack came in ranked 21st in the NCAA in Turnover% (the percentage of a team’s possessions that end in a turnover) at 15.5%. Against the Boilermakers, NC State beat that average, with a TO% of 15.1%.

NC State lost because they were efficiently kept off of the offensive glass. The Wolfpack came into the game against Purdue ranking 42nd in the nation in Offensive Rebound Percentage, hauling in 38.8% of the possible offensive boards. The Boilermakers physical play, and two towers inside, held NC State to a subpar 30% OR%. Coming into the game this wasn’t one of Purdue’s strengths, ranking 108th in Defensive OR%.

The Wolfpack also lost because they failed to get to the free throw line the way they had been. And it was a huge missed opportunity. Purdue came into the game as one of the more foul happy teams in the country, ranking 159th in Defensive Free Throw Rate (FTA/FGA…how often they put people on the line. Instead of excelling above their Offensive Free Throw Rate average of 45.8, NC State missed an opportunity with a week Free Throw Rate of 38.8.

Why State Lost: Defensively

The Wolfpack actually did a good job at holding the Boilermakers to a below average effective field goal percentage. Purdue came in ranked 19th in the NCAA in eFG% (57.3%), and NC State held them to an eFG% of 45.5%.

NC State has been one of the worst teams in the NCAA in creating turnovers, ranking 314th in the country, taking the ball away only 16.5% of the time. They didn’t do much better against Purdue, beating their average by four tenths of a percentage point. What is discouraging about this, is Purdue came in as one of the worst teams in the country at turning the ball over, with a TO% of 21.3 ranking 236th.

NC State lost this game in a big way because of their failure on the defensive glass. This was surprising, because they came in ranked 16th in Defensive OR%, only allowing opponents to grab 24.1% of possible offensive rebounds. Purdue grabbed 42.1% of their own shots that clanged off the rim.

The Wolfpack also lost because they handed Purdue way too many points at the charity stripe. The Pack came in ranked 19th in Defensive Free Throw Rate (24.5), being one of the better teams in the country at keeping people off of the line, and staying out of foul trouble. Purdue lived on the line, with a whopping Free Throw Rate of 39.3.

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Matthew is Co-Owner of Pack Insider. He writes for all sports, with a focus on football and recruiting, and is in charge of business strategy. He is an NC State alum who majored in business. Matthew is also the lead pastor of The Point Church in Cary, NC.

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NC State Basketball

NC State Forward Katie Peneueta Enters the Transfer Portal

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19 hours ago

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April 17, 2024

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NC State Forward Katie Peneueta is entering the Transfer Portal.

Peneueta transferred to NC State last offseason from Sacramento State, where she averaged 8.4 points, shooting 45.5% from three.

In her one year at NC State, Peneueta only played 8 games for the Wolfpack, battling injuries throughout the year. Peneueta has 1 year of eligibility.

With Peneueta entering the Portal, NC State now has 3 scholarships available heading into the 2024-25 season.

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NC State Basketball

Boston Center Caitlin Weimar is on an Official Visit to NC State

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1 day ago

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April 17, 2024

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Boston Transfer Center Caitlin Weimar (6’4″) is currently on an Official Visit to NC State.

Weimar is the reigning Patriot League Player of the Year, and has been named Defensive Player of the Year the past two years. She has earned 1st Team Patriot League Honors the past two seasons.

This year, Weimar averaged 18.7 points, 10.6 rebounds and 2.8 blocks. As a Junior, she averaged 15.5 points and 10.0 rebounds. She shot 55.5% this year, and 59.7% last year.

With NC State not having River Baldwin at Center next year, adding Weimar is an extremely exciting possibility.

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NC State Basketball

What did an ACC Title & Final Four Mean to NC State Legend TJ Warren?

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1 day ago

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April 17, 2024

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What did an ACC Title & Final Four mean to NC State Legend TJ Warren? I caught up with the man who won the ACC Player of the Year Award in 2014 to get his take.

What was it like for you watching NC State go from the #10 seed in the ACC Tournament, to winning the Championship, to going to the Final Four?

I’m a second generation Wolfpack basketball player. Wolf blood runs through my veins, so to be able to witness a ride like that was truly amazing.

What did this run say about Kevin Keatts and these players? In what ways did you see them adapt, change or persevere?

I think that is speaks to the heart that the players have. As a 10th seed in the ACC tournament, it’s easy to pack it in and look towards the offseason, but they did the opposite. They bonded together over adversity and that’s what made them so endearing. Hard work in the face of adversity, that’s something that Wolfpack fans can relate to.

As one of the best players to ever wear the Red & White, what did this run mean to you personally?

As I mentioned earlier, NCSU hoops has been in my family for a long time, so it meant a whole lot personally. This run definitely took me back to some of the fond memories I have of putting on the Red & White and playing in front of a packed house at the PNC.

What was the most memorable moment for you?

I think Mike’s shot to tie the game at the end of regulation. It just felt like destiny at that point. Anytime you get to beat UNC and Duke days apart is special too.

How do you think this run can change things for the NC State Basketball program going forward?

I think that it puts us back on the national radar where we belong. After a magical run like that, I think it makes players want to be a part of that. A run like that reinvigorates a program definitely.

_______

Warren is 1 of only 6 NC State players to ever be named the ACC Player of the Year. In his Sophomore season, Warren was named a 2nd Team All-American by Sporting News and the AP. He averaged 24.9 points per game, which is the 5th best mark in a single season in NC State history. Warren scored 871 points that year, which is the most points ever scored in a single season by a Wolfpack player.

TJ was selected by the Phoenix Suns with the 14th overall pick in the 2014 NBA Draft.

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NC State Forward Ernest Ross Enters the Transfer Portal

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2 days ago

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April 16, 2024

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NC State Forward Ernest Ross announced today that he is entering the Transfer Portal.

 

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Ross played in 14 games this year, averaging 3.4 minutes per contest. After playing in 34 games last season, averaging 11.4 minutes per contest, Ross saw his participation dip to a career low this season, but that didn’t for a second break his infectious personality. On the sideline, you could count on Ross every single game to be the heart and soul of the Wolfpack on the bench. To watch a player who played as little as he did, care as much as he did, makes me super proud that this young man represented NC State so well.

Ross was a consensus 4-star player in the 2021 recruiting class, with 247Sports ranking him as the #60 overall player nationally. ESPN ranked him as the #5 overall player in the state of Florida.

Ross has one more year of eligibility remaining.

NC State has 3 scholarships available now.

Best of luck Ernest!

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