Connect with us

NC State Basketball

Previewing NC State vs. Miami: By the Numbers



#18 NC State and Miami will kickoff their ACC slate tonight down in Coral Gables at 7pm on ESPNU, but before they do, let’s break down the matchup by the numbers.

To break down the matchup, I will primarily be referencing the Four Factors that Dean Oliver made famous almost two decades ago: Effective Field Goal Percentage, Turnover Percentage, Offensive Rebounding Percentage, and Free Throw Rate.

Oliver concluded that these were the Four Factors of Basketball Success, with their level of importance being in that order.

  • Effective Field Goal% is an alternative to FG%, which inflates when the team makes three pointers.
  • Turnover Rate is an estimation of turnovers committed by a team per 100 possessions.
  • Offensive Rebound Rate is the percentage of contested rebounds that a team grabs after its own missed shots.
  • Free Throw Rate is the number of free throw attempts per every field goal attempt. Apart from easy points, free throws contribute towards opponent’s foul trouble. (Link)

NC State Offensive Four Factors vs. Miami

The Wolfpack enters the contest as one of the hottest shooting teams in the land, ranked 5th nationally in Effective FG% (59.5%). In comparison, Miami’s Effective FG% Defense ranks 131st nationally (49.4%).

NC State hasn’t done a good job taking care of the basketball through non-conference play, ranking 157th nationally in Turnover % (18.7%). Fortunately, the Hurricane’s Defensive Turnover % is middle of the road, ranking 70th nationally (21.4%).

The Wolfpack has shown they are one of the best nationally in crashing the offensive glass through the first 13 games, ranking 8th nationally in Offensive Rebounding % (38.5%). Miami isn’t excellent when it comes to boxing out to snag defensive rebounds, ranking 117th (27.1%).

As aggressive as NC State is at running the court, they haven’t been successful at getting to the charity stripe, ranking 211th in Free Throw Rate (32.4). The Wolfpack aren’t going to get any favors in this area from the Hurricanes tonight, who rank 3rd nationally in Defensive Free Throw Rate. They keep their hands to themselves.

NC State Defensive Four Factors vs. Miami

Miami ranks 60th in Effective FG% (54.1%), and the Wolfpack hold their opponents to an EFG% of 46.8%, which ranks 62nd nationally.

The Hurricanes don’t do a great job holding onto the basketball, ranking 101st nationally in Turnover % (17.6%). Not good sign for the home team tonight…the Wolfpack rank 3rd nationally in Defensive Turnover % (25.7%)

Don’t expect Miami to dominate the offensive glass tonight, ranking a dreary 239th in Offensive Rebounding % (26.5%). The Wolfpack have been halfway decent at keeping their opponents off the offensive glass, ranking 63rd nationally (25.4%).

Fortunately, when it comes to the last factor, Miami is weak where NC State is weak. The Hurricanes rank 205th in Free Throw Rate (33.0), and NC State ranks 267th (38.3) in Defensive Free Throw Rate. The Wolfpack aggressively foul, but Miami isn’t aggressive offensively.


When it comes to Offensive and Defensive Efficiency, NC State holds the edge in both.



NC State Basketball

NC State 84 Hofstra 78: HIGHLIGHT REEL



NC State improved to 23-11 on the season tonight, defeating Hofstra (27-8) 84-78 in the 1st Round of the NIT in Reynolds Coliseum. Check out the GoPack HIGHLIGHT REEL below.

Continue Reading

NC State Basketball

NC State Outlasts Hofstra 84-78 in 1st Rd of the NIT



Despite their disappointment in missing the NCAA Tournament, the Wolfpack fanbase came out in droves tonight for NC State’s 84-78 victory over Hofstra in the 1st round of the NIT, selling out Reynolds Coliseum.

The Wolfpack had no answer for the Pride’s Justin Wright-Foreman in the 1st half, scoring 17 points. Wright-Foreman averaged 27 points per game this year, ranking 2nd in the NCAA. He finished the night with 29 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.

NC State fans were nervous at the break, with Hofstra leading 42-39 at halftime.

“2nd-half Markell” was in full force tonight. The Junior Wolfpack point guard scored 20 points in the 2nd half. He finished the night with 26 points, tying Hawkeye Whitney (1978) for the most points scored by an NC State player in an NIT game.

Senior Torin Dorn and CJ Bryce were the only other Wolfpack players to finish in double-figures, scoring 19 and 18 respectively. Bryce and Dorn also led NC State on the boards, with 11 and 9 respectively.

Hofstra made things interesting in the final minutes.

NC State held a 78-70 lead with 3:14 left on the clock, but the Pride went on a 6-0 run, making it a 2-point game with 2:24 left.

With 46 seconds left on the clock, it was still a 2-point game.

Johnson’s killer instinct kicked in with an And-1 layup with 19 seconds on the clock, that ultimately was the nail in the coffin.

NC State out-rebounded Hofstra 49-32, and held Hofstra to 41.5% shooting from the field.

The Wolfpack are now 23-11, and will host the winner of the # 6 Harvard vs. #3 Georgetown on Sunday night at 7:30pm in Reynolds Coliseum. The 23 wins marks the most since 2012-13.

Photo Credit: @Fred_Demarest

Continue Reading

NC State Basketball

NC State is a 9-Point Favorite Over Hofstra in the 1st Rd of the NIT



NC State (22-11) is a 9-point favorite over Hofstra (27-7/17-4) in the 1st round of the NIT tonight at 7pm in Reynolds Coliseum. The TOTAL is sitting at 163.

ESPN’s BPI Matchup Predictor gives the Wolfpack a 86.6% chance of victory.

  • NC State is 7-3 Against the Spread in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NC State’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NC State’s last 8 games at home
  • NC State is 20-4 Straight Up when they are favored this year
  • Hofstra is 0-5 this season Straight Up as the underdog this year
  • NC State is 10-9 Against the Spread at home this year
  • Hofstra is 11-4 Against the Spread on the road this year
  • The TOTAL has gone UNDER in 12 of NC State’s games at Home this year

NC State is 2-0 all-time against Hofstra.

1983 – 82-56 (W)
2014 – 76-64 (W)

The Wolfpack barely covered the spread back in 2014, beating the Pride by 12 points, as 12.5 point favorites.

Continue Reading

NC State Basketball

NC State Women’s Basketball Earns #3 Seed in NCAA Tournament



RALEIGH – For the second straight season, the 10th-ranked NC State women’s basketball team (26-5) will be hosting NCAA Tournament games in Raleigh. Announced Monday evening during the 2019 Women’s NCAA Tournament Selection Show on ESPN, the third-seeded Wolfpack will host 14th-seeded Maine on Saturday, March 23 at 1 pm inside Valvano Arena at Reynolds Coliseum on the campus of NC State University.

The Wolfpack hosted Maine on Dec. 15 of this season, defeating the Black Bears 84-46. Maine (25-7) has won 14 straight games and won its second consecutive America East Conference Tournament title, defeating three foes by an average of 22.6 points per game during the competition.

Saturday’s winner will take on the winner of sixth-seeded Kentucky and 11th-seeded Princeton on Monday, March 25 (time TBD). Kentucky and Princeton will open the action in Raleigh by playing at 11 am on Saturday, March 23.

NC State has played 16 NCAA Tournament games in the city of Raleigh throughout program history. The Wolfpack is 14-2 in these games and has not lost an NCAA Tournament contest in its home city since 1983. The 2019 season marks the Wolfpack’s 25th trip to the NCAA Tournament and 28th appearance in the top national postseason tournament (AIAW National Tournament appearances prior to the beginning of the NCAA Tournament in 1978, 1980, and 1981).

Last season, the Wolfpack hosted and defeated Elon (62-35) and No. 16 Maryland (74-60) in the first and second rounds of the NCAA Tournament in Raleigh.

With a 26-5 record and a third-place finish in the Atlantic Coast Conference that was followed up by an exciting run to the semifinals of the ACC Tournament, the Wolfpack is in the midst of a very strong season and will be making its third consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance.

Photo Credit: @PackWomensBBall

Continue Reading