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Previewing NC State’s Opponent: Boston College

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NC State (4-2) will kickoff against Boston College (3-3) in a couple of hours at Noon, but before they do, here’s a preview of the Golden Eagles.

Offense

A.J. Dillon

NC State might lead the ACC in Run Defense, but they haven’t faced Junior Running Back A.J. Dillon yet. Dillon (6’0″/245) is a force of nature. He’s rushed for 745 yards through 6 games (6 touchdowns), and has rushed for 100+ yards in 4 consecutive games. He’s the ACC rushing leader, and ranks 5th nationally.

The Wolfpack was lucky in 2018, and didn’t have to deal with Dillon due to injury, but did face him during his Freshman campaign in 2017. NC State found a way to beat BC, despite allowing Dillon to rush for 196 yards on his home turf.

Dillon isn’t invincible. He has been contained before, but those times have been few and far between. Syracuse, Clemson and Purdue were the only schools to keep Dillon under 66.7 yards (NC State’s Run Defense Average) in 2018. No one has done so through 6 games this year.

Dillon isn’t the only Running Threat

Unfortunately for the Pack, Dillon isn’t all that the Golden Eagles running game has to offer. While he averages 124.2 yards rushing per game, the team averages an insane 253.2.

Sophomore David Bailey has 329 yards rushing, which is only 25 yards less than NC State’s leading rusher, Zonovan Knight.

Freshman Wide Receiver Zay Flowers is versatile, and has rushed the ball 16 times for 168 yards, for an average of 10.1 yards per carry.

QB Anthony Brown is OUT…Dennis Grosel is IN…

Boston College averages more yards rushing than passing, but they have been far from inefficient through the air. Redshirt Junior Anthony Brown’s Passing Efficiency Rating of 154.5 ranks 4th in the ACC.

Unfortunately for Brown and BC, but fortunately for NC State, Brown won’t be playing today after suffering a season ending knee injury in the 2nd quarter of their game against Louisville.

Instead, the Wolfpack will face Redshirt Sophomore Dennis Grosel has only completed 38.7% of his passes (12/31).

Don’t Sleep on BC’s Receivers

While BC averages more rushing yards (253.2) than receiving yards (235), the Golden Eagles have more touchdown receptions than rushing touchdowns (14/12). Senior Tight End Korab Idrizi has 4 of the 14.

The yards they tend to get through the air can be explosive, with five 50+ yard pass plays in their belt, ranking 8th nationally. Freshman Zay Flowers has been a difference maker from the get-go, averaging 19.4 yards per reception. Redshirt Sophomore Hunter Long leads the team in receptions (15) and receiving yards (277), but more impressively he is averaging 18.5 yards per catch as a Tight End.

Explosive

Boston College’s offense is explosive. They rank 2nd in the ACC in Total Offense (488.2), and they tend to get it in chunks. The Golden Eagles have the 2nd most “explosive” plays in the ACC, with 19 plays of 30+ yards, which also ranks 13th nationally. They are averaging 14.8 yards per completion, which ranks 2nd in the ACC and 12th nationally.

This will be the best offense NC State has played this year, but one has to think they won’t be as effective or explosive without starting Quarterback Anthony Brown.

Offensive Line

BC has been known for their quality offensive linemen over the years, and 2019 is no different. Despite having 3 new starters on the line, the Golden Eagles rank 1st in the nation in sacks allowed per game (0.5), and their rushing offense ranks 9th.

NC State has racked up 8 sacks in each of the past two games, but they haven’t faced a line like BC’s all season long.

 

Defense

How is Boston College 3-3 with such an explosive offense?

Opposing offenses tend to be explosive against the Golden Eagle Defense.

Boston College boasts the worst defense in the ACC, giving up an average of 476.2 yards per game. Giving up close to 500 yards of offense per game is insanity. They are pretty much equally bad at stopping both the run game and the passing game.

Opponents are averaging 191.8 yards on the ground (13th in ACC), and 284.3 through the air (13th in ACC).

On paper, NC State’s Freshmen duo of Zonovan Knight and Jordan Houston should have a field day. On paper, today should be a confidence builder for Wolfpack Quarterback Bailey Hockman, and maybe Devin Leary.

NC State Football

NC State vs. UNC Kickoff Time set for 7pm

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NC State will close out their regular season with a game against archival UNC on ACC Network, with a 7pm kickoff time.

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This is wild.

Last season 7 out of NC State’s 12 games were Noon kickoffs.

This year, 7 out of NC State’s 12 games will be night kickoffs.

The Wolfpack are 8-10 in games between 7-8pm under Dave Doeren. Ten of those 18 games have been at home, going 4-6 in those games.

NC State will close out the season with 4 consecutive games between 7-8pm.

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NC State is a 1-Point Underdog vs. Georgia Tech

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When the Vegas betting lines opened for the matchup between NC State and Georgia Tech this Thursday night, it opened dead even…as a Pick ‘Em. Since then, the line has shifted in the Yellow Jackets favor, now sitting as 1-point favorites at home.

The Total is sitting at 48.5.

Both teams are 2-7-1 against the spread in 2019.

Dating back to 2005, Georgia Tech has been the favorite in their last 5 matchups against the Wolfpack.

NC State

  • North Carolina State are 1-7 Against The Spread in their last 8 games.
  • North Carolina State are 1-5 Straight Up in their last 6 games.
  • North Carolina State are 3-11 Straight Up in their last 14 games against Georgia Tech.
  • North Carolina State are 1-6 Against The Spread in their last 7 games on the road.
  • North Carolina State are 2-4 Straight Up in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech.
  • North Carolina State are 1-5 Straight Up in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of North Carolina State’s last 15 games played in November.

Georgia Tech 

  • Georgia Tech are 2-10-1 Against The Spread in their last 13 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech’s last 6 games.
  • Georgia Tech are 1-7 Straight Up in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech’s last 5 games against North Carolina State.
  • Georgia Tech are 0-5 Against The Spread in their last 5 games at home.
  • Georgia Tech are 4-2 Straight Up in their last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina State.
  • Georgia Tech are 1-4 Straight Up in their last 5 games this season.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia Tech’s last 8 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
  • Georgia Tech are 1-4 Against The Spread in their last 5 games played in November.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia Tech’s last 9 games played on a Thursday. (OddShark)

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NC State’s Deonte Holden to Play in NFLPA Collegiate Bowl

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Graduate Redshirt Senior Defensive End Deonte Holden will be playing in the NFL Players Association Collegiate Bowl.

Holden was awarded a 6th year of eligibility last year, giving him the opportunity to play one more year in 2019.

In 9 games this year, Holden has 8 tackles (2 tackles for loss), 1.5 sacks and 1 QB Hurry.

Two years ago, NC State Cornerback Mike Stevens played in the Collegiate Bowl.

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NC State’s James Smith-Williams Accepts Invitation to Play in East-West Shrine Bowl

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NC State Graduate Redshirt Senior Defensive End James Smith-Williams has accepted an invitation to play in the East-West Shrine Bowl.

Last year, the Wolfpack had two players play in the East-West game: Punter A.J. Cole and Offensive Tackle Tyler Jones. The year before that, Defensive End Kentavius Street and Offensive Guard Tony Adams played in the annual showcase.

Smith-Williams has been dinged up all year, but has 20 tackles (1 for loss), 1 sack and 7 QB Hurries in 7 games in 2019. He was 3rd on The Athletic’s Bruce Feldman’s Preseason list of the Top Freaks in College Football.

No player on this entire list has had the type of transformation that Smith-Williams has had. He arrived five years ago weighing a spindly 196 pounds. Now he’s a hulking 265. He benches 420, doing 27 reps at 225. He squats 620 and cleans 374. Smith-Williams vertical jumps 40 inches and has clocked a 4.43 in his pro agility time. Earlier this week, he ran an electronically timed 40 at 4.58. The hand time was 4.52. (Athletic)

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