ADVANCED STATS: How NC State and #1 Purdue match up using the ‘4-Factors’

NC State takes on Purdue today at 2 pm in a game where the Boilermakers are favored by 13.5. While you should never doubt a Vegas line, we wanted to take a closer look at how these teams stack up against each other using Ken Pom’s 4 Factors.

Effective FG% Offense
Purdue – 60.4 (2nd in the nation)
NC State- 47.4

Effective FG% Defense
Purdue – 46.5 
NC State- 49.6

Turnover % on offense
Purdue – 18.3
NC State- 14.2 (13th in the nation)

Turnover % forced
Purdue- 16.1
NC State- 19.3 

Offensive rebounding % 
Purdue – 39.6 (8th in the nation)
NC State- 32.7

Offensive rebounding % Allowed
Purdue – 22.1 (25th in the nation)
NC State-31.7

FT Rate Offense
Purdue – 39.7 (21st in the nation)
NC State- 39.1 (25th in the nation)

FT Rate Allowed
Purdue – 20.7 (16th in the nation)
NC State- 25

The Takeaways
Based on the 4 factors, things aren’t looking great for the Pack. Purdue’s offensive efficiency is off the charts, but both teams’ defensive efficiency is pretty similar. NC State will win the turnover battle (so says the stats), but Purdue will murder the Pack on the boards, especially the offensive glass. The Boilermakers and Wolfpack will get to the line at about the same rate, but Purdue won’t put NC State on the line as much as State will put them on the line.

The point is, at the end of the day, NC State is going to need to drastically overproduce their averages if they want to beat #1 Purdue in this one.