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ADVANCED STATS: How NC State and #1 Purdue match up using the ‘4-Factors’

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NC State takes on Purdue today at 2 pm in a game where the Boilermakers are favored by 13.5. While you should never doubt a Vegas line, we wanted to take a closer look at how these teams stack up against each other using Ken Pom’s 4 Factors.

Effective FG% Offense
Purdue – 60.4 (2nd in the nation)
NC State- 47.4

 

Effective FG% Defense
Purdue – 46.5 
NC State- 49.6


Turnover % on offense
Purdue – 18.3
NC State- 14.2 (13th in the nation)

Turnover % forced
Purdue- 16.1
NC State- 19.3 

 

Offensive rebounding % 
Purdue – 39.6 (8th in the nation)
NC State- 32.7

Offensive rebounding % Allowed
Purdue – 22.1 (25th in the nation)
NC State-31.7

 

FT Rate Offense
Purdue – 39.7 (21st in the nation)
NC State- 39.1 (25th in the nation)

 

FT Rate Allowed
Purdue – 20.7 (16th in the nation)
NC State- 25

The Takeaways
Based on the 4 factors, things aren’t looking great for the Pack. Purdue’s offensive efficiency is off the charts, but both teams’ defensive efficiency is pretty similar. NC State will win the turnover battle (so says the stats), but Purdue will murder the Pack on the boards, especially the offensive glass. The Boilermakers and Wolfpack will get to the line at about the same rate, but Purdue won’t put NC State on the line as much as State will put them on the line.

The point is, at the end of the day, NC State is going to need to drastically overproduce their averages if they want to beat #1 Purdue in this one.

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Dof87
Dof87
2 years ago

Proud of our effort, we had our chances and it does to show how a few errors can make or break a game. Refs didn’t help any in OT.

Dof87
Dof87
2 years ago
Reply to  Dof87

Not only was there goaltending on Seabron, there was also a body contact foul that wasn’t called. Could have been a 3 pt play and a difference maker.

Dof87
Dof87
2 years ago

Leading at the half. And if we didn’t have so many turnovers, we’d possibly have a decent working margin.

Rev
Rev
2 years ago

Is this is how Bethune Cookman felt going into the State game? With two big men on scholarship but not available, and two guards playing with injuries, I doubt we can stay within striking distance, much less have a chance to win at the end. I would love to be proven wrong. Maybe if we get 20 steals…….

Papajohn
Papajohn
2 years ago
Reply to  Rev

Shooting 50% from 3PT like Rutgers did would be helpful, as well.

Rev
Rev
2 years ago
Reply to  Papajohn

So I was absolutely WRONG! Every time I think this team has finally quelled my unrealistic optimism, these guys play their hearts out. Proud of them Shame on me

Papajohn
Papajohn
2 years ago

This one is going to get ugly early. I’m betting Painter has already told his guys to go inside and keep going inside until we prove we can stop them. I predict career days for their bigs, Ebe will foul out early and Ross and Gibson have already fouled out, down big at the half, in March we’ll call this the worst loss of the season.
I’m already hiding under the bed. I just hope we don’t get anyone else injured.

NC State Basketball

An NC State Win Over Marquette in the Sweet 16 Would Be…

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Awesome. Obviously.

#11 seed NC State will play #2 seed Marquette tomorrow night in the Sweet 16. What would a win mean for the Wolfpack? Many things, but here’s just a few:

It would give NC State 25 wins on the year (25-14), which would be the most wins since 1982-83, when the Wolfpack went 26-10, winning the National Championship.

It would mark the 12th time in school history that NC State has won 25+ games in a single season.

1982-83 – 26-10 

1973-74 – 30-1 

1972-73 – 27-0 

1954-55 – 28-4 

1953-54 – 26-7

1952-53 – 26-6 

1950-51 – 30-7 

1949-50 – 27-6 

1948-49 – 25-8 

1947-48 – 29-3

1946-47- 26-5

It would be the 7th time NC State has advanced to the Elite 8 in the NCAA Tournament.

1950

1951

1974

1983

1985

1986

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NC State Basketball

NC State has Won 5 ACC Championships this Year

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NC State has won 5 ACC Championships this year, which is the most of any athletic program in the conference this year.

The Wolfpack has won ACC Titles in Women’s Cross Country, Men’s Swimming & Diving, Wrestling, Men’s Basketball and Gymnastics.

The last time NC State won 5 ACC Championships in one year was 1979-80.

As far as I can tell, here’s a look at the Wolfpack Conference Titles from 1979-80:

Football
Women’s Basketball
Women’s Cross Country
Men’s Swimming & Diving
Men’s Tennis

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NC State Basketball

NC State is 1 of 4 Schools to Have Both Men & Women’s Basketball Teams in Sweet 16

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NC State is 1 of 4 schools to have their Men and Women’s Basketball teams BOTH advance to the Sweet 16, along with Duke, Gonzaga and UCONN.

NC State and Duke are the only two schools in the country to send both Basketball teams to the Sweet 16, and also send the Football team to a bowl game.

This marks only the third time in school history that BOTH teams made the Sweet 16.

Years NC State’s Men & Women’s Teams Made the Sweet 16

1985
1989
2024

Despite the fact that the Men’s team has made the Elite 8 six times (1950, 1951, 1974, 1983, 1985, 1986), and the Women have made it 2 times (1998 & 2022), in the three occasions they both went to the Sweet 16 in the same year, neither team advanced to the Elite 8.

In 2024, Why Not Us?

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NC State Basketball

#3 seed NC State Holds on Against #6 Seed Tennessee, Defeating the Vols 79-72 to Advance to the Sweet 16

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#3 seed NC State held on last night, defeating #6 seed Tennessee 79-72 in Reynolds Coliseum to advance to the Sweet 16 for the 5th time in the last 6 tournaments.

The Wolfpack led by only 1 after the 1st Quarter, but they looked like they had things under control at halftime, leading by 18 points.

At one point, NC State led by as much as 20 points in the 3rd Quarter, but the Lady Volunteers weren’t about to give up.

With 4:19 left in the 4th, Tennessee cut the lead to 2 points, but NC State might have bent, but they wouldn’t break.

Junior Guard Aziaha James led the way with 22 points and 7 assists, which were both team highs. She scored 7 points in the final 3.5 minutes, helping to squash tue Last Vols’ comeback attempt.

Junior Guard Saniya Rivers had 20 points (6-14 FG) and 6 boards.

Freshman Zoe Brooks was clutch off the bench, chipping in 16 points and 6 boards.

This marks the 16th time the NC State Women’s Basketball team has advanced to the Sweet 16.

The Wolfpack will play #2 seed Stanford on Friday night at 7:30pm on ESPN in Portland.

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