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5 NC State Stats That Will Break Your Brain (or break your soul)

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NC State ranks 327th in defensive 3pt%
This stat shows that teams shoot better from 3 against NC State than almost vs. almost any other team in the nation. There are only 358 Division 1 teams, so State is really toward the bottom of the barrel here. And I know there have been a few nights when teams were just hot, but it’s more than just bad luck at this point. We made that clear in our piece from yesterday.

NC State ranks 300th in opponent offensive rebounding %
Again, NC State is amongst the nation’s bottom 58 teams in a stat. This one is a little more explainable seeing as they have three 4-star bigs on the shelf and now Dowuona joins them. They’ve been depleted in the middle all season long, so this is a sad stat, but it may not be too avoidable given the circumstances.

Since 12/29 vs Miami, Breon Pass is leading NC State PGs in Assist/Turnover ratio at 2.5. 
The freshman PG has done enough in our eyes to start earning some more minutes. He’s starting to knock down shots, he’s defending well and he’s the best on the team at setting his guys up and not turning it over. During the same time span, Seabron has a 1.34 ratio and Hayes has a 1.28 ratio. Sure, Pass is doing this in limited minutes, but hell, he’s doing it. What more does he need to do before he starts beating out Hayes and Allen as the first guard off the NC State bench? During that span he’s 8-19 from the floor (42%) and 5-12 from 3 point range (42%). For the season, Hayes is shooting 32% from the floor and just 20% from 3. Meanwhile, Allen is shooting 38% from the floor and 32% from 3.  What’s holding pass back? It’s not the numbers, that’s for sure.

Casey Morsell is leading NC State in 3pt %
Morsell looked like a pretty decent offensive player early in the season. Then he got hurt and lost his mojo. Now that he’s fully back, he’s been on fire. Morsell now leads NC State in 3pt %, shooting 43% from long range. He’s not a volume shooter, but they don’t need him to be, they have Terquavion Smith for that. Morsell is taking good shots and knocking them down. He is also their best defender. Morsell needs to be on the floor as much as Seabron and Smith are. He’s that important. That means 35+ minutes per game.

Terquavion Smith is averaging 18ppg, shooting 43% from 3pt range in ACC play, and is on track to become the highest-scoring true freshman in NC State history.
Yeah folks, that’s a freshman. Smith is averaging 15.7ppg this season, which is the highest in history for a true freshman in the NC State record books (Dennis Smith Jr’s records have been vacated). Brandon Costner averaged 16.8 ppg as a redshirt freshman in 2006-07, and even that number is reachable for Terquavion.

Now, as for total points, that’s a little more complicated. Costner finished with 605 points on the season. However, he played 36 games that season. State made a deep run in the ACCT and then a deep run in the NIT. Costner also wasn’t a true freshman that season, he was a redshirt.

Dennis Smith Jr. finished with 580 points in 2016-17, but again, his records have been vacated due to the NCAA sanctions.

Terquavion Smith has 361 points. He’s guaranteed 9 more games. If he continues his ACC average over those 9 games, he’ll finish with 523 points. That will be well ahead of JJ Hickson’s 458 total points as a freshman and would give him the crown for most points scored in by a true freshman in the history of NC State Basketball.

 

 

A pasta eatin', Wolfpack lovin' loudmouth from Raleigh by way of New Jersey. Jimmy V and Chuck Amato fanboy. All opinions are my own and you're gonna hear'em.

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packaged2
packaged2
2 years ago

I think that was Costner’s sophomore season he had 16.8ppg?

Dof87
Dof87
2 years ago

The gaping hole in our interior coupled with youth on the exterior are simply a recipe for trouble. It is nice to see Pass coming along and starting to figure things out, that’s all you can ask of a freshman that wasn’t expected to see much court time at the start of the year. We are just going to have to scrap and claw out the rest of the season, hopefully get on the up side of some of these close games. I’d love to see Hayes find his shot. I’d love to see Gibson figure out how to finish… Read more »

Rev
Rev
2 years ago
Reply to  Dof87

Gibson started out playing guard in High school. Then he grew like 6 to 8 inches in two years. Like you pointed out, I think he gets a bad rap because he is not really even a power forward but, a 6’10” small forward. Too many of our player look like Wiley Coyote, which way did he go?, on defense. So there is that. However, His numbers on offense sure looked good against Cuse.

NC State Basketball

Here is the 2024 ACC Women’s Basketball Tournament Bracket

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The bracket for the 2024 ACC Women’s Basketball Tournament is here. The 10th ranked NC State is the #2 seed in the tournament, and their first game will be on Friday at 5pm on ACC Network.

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The Wolfpack will play the winner of the Duke (7 seed) vs. Georgia Tech (10 seed)/Pitt (15 seed).

NC State defeated Pitt 83-47 on February 11th, and they defeated Georgia Tech 86-85 on February 18th.

The Wolfpack lost to Duke 58-69 on February 25th. NC State entered the game as 1.5-point favorites, but ended up losing in enemy territory.

Georgia Tech defeated Pitt 68-58 on January 7th. Duke defeated both Georgia Tech and Pitt this season, defeating the Yellow Jackets 84-46 on January 14th, and the Panthers on 69-38 on February 1st.

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NC State Basketball

There is Reason to be Frustrated

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If you are an NC State fan, it’s only reasonable that you’re frustrated with the state of the Men’s Basketball program.

Under Kevin Keatts, NC State has gone to the NCAA Tournament twice in 7 seasons. The Wolfpack didn’t win a game in the Big Dance in either of those appearances.

Keatts has led NC State to a 3-5 record in the ACC Tournament, failing to reach the semifinals a single time.

You could make an argument that his first season in Raleigh was his best (I don’t think it was), because the Wolfpack finished 5th in the ACC, which is the highest the team has finished in the conference under his watch.

2017-18 – 5th
2018-19 – 8th
2019-20 – 6th
2020-21 – 9th
2021-22 – 15th
2022-23 – 6th
2023-23 – 9th (currently)

Average finish: 8.3

(For context, in 6 seasons, Mark Gottfried’s average finish was 8.7.)

Over the past 7 seasons, NC State has been ranked in the Top-25 in only 8 polls (2 separate seasons), with the highest being on January 7th, 2019, when the Wolfpack were ranked 15th.

Under Gottfried, NC State was ranked in 13 polls (all one season). With Herb Sendek at the helm, the Wolfpack were ranked in the Top-25 in 5 different seasons, in a total of 35 polls.

Do I think Kevin Keatts is the worst coach at NC State in recent memory? No, that award goes to Sydney Lowe. In all reality, NC State’s record overall and in conference play is nearly identical under Keatts, as it was under Mark Gottfried and Herb Sendek.

(Overall/Conference)
Kevin Keatts – 58.3/48.3
Mark Gottfried – 58.9/45.3
Herb Sendek – 59.1/45.0

What’s the difference between Keatts and the other two?

A couple of observations.

Sendek finished his time at NC State with 5 consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances, and Gottfried started off his tenure with 4 consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances. The Wolfpack advanced to the 2nd round 3 times, and the Sweet 16 once under Sendek. Under Gottfried, they advanced to the 2nd round twice.

Sendek led NC State to the ACC Championship game 3 times (in 10 years), and the semifinals 4 times. Gottfried led the Wolfpack to the semifinals on 3 occasions. Heck, Sidney Lowe led NC State to the ACC Championship game once, and the semifinals on another occasion.

Is the NC State Men’s Basketball program worse off under Keatts than it was under the previous coaches? If you simply look at total wins and losses, that’s not necessarily the case, but when you look at the Wolfpack’s production in postseason play, there is no other answer besides ‘yes.’

Every now and then you have to be willing to eat crow. Years ago, I was of the opinion that Herb Sendek needed to go. Do I think that Sendek would have brought NC State back to where it was in the 80’s? I didn’t think it then, and I’m not certain my opinion on that has changed, but the past 20 years has proven to me that the grass isn’t always greener.

Call me nostalgic, but from a historical perspective, I believe NC State fans have right to expect their Men’s Basketball program to be successful…to consistently be ranked in the Top-25…to finish in the top half of the ACC…compete for conference championships…and go to the Big Dance on a regular basis.

There is reason to be frustrated.

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NC State Basketball

Madison Hayes Will Be Returning for Her Final Year of Eligibility in 2024-25

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Last night NC State Guard Madison Hayes was honored on Senior Night, but she also announced that she would be returning in 2024-25 for her final year of eligibility. She was honored alongside Center River Baldwin and Forward Mimi Collins, who are both out of eligibility after this season.

Hayes is in the midst of a breakout season this year, averaging 11.7 points and 7.0 rebounds per game, which are both career highs. She ranks 3rd on the team in scoring, behind the other two Guards in the starting lineup, Aziaha James and Saniya Rivers, who will also be back in 2024-25. Even though she is a Guard, Hayes leads the Wolfpack in rebounding. Her 44.1% Field Goal Percentage is the best of any of the Wolfpack Guards, and her Three Point Percentage of 41.7% is the best on the squad.

As a Senior in high school, Hayes was named a McDonald’s All-American in 2020, and she earned a spot on the All SEC Freshman team in 2021 as a member of Mississippi St. In 2021-22, she transferred to NC State, and played in 26 games off the bench, but earned a spot in the starting lineup last season.

Big news for the Wolfpack Women’s Basketball program!

 

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NC State Basketball

NC State 64 #9 Duke 79: BOX SCORE

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#9 Duke defeated NC State 79-64 in PNC Arena this evening. With one game remaining for the Wolfpack in the regular season, they are now 17-13 overall, and 9-10 in ACC play. Below is the Box Score.

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