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NC State looks to convince the nation they’re for real vs. Dayton | Game Preview and How to Watch

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NC State Wolfpack vs. Dayton Flyers
Time: 4:00 PM
Location: Bahamas (Battle 4 Atlantis)
TV: ESPN News

As we just explained, this is a big game for NC State. The nation is watching after a very impressive showing vs. the reigning national champions and 3rd ranked Jayhawks yesterday. So what can you expect from Dayton in today’s matchup? Let’s dive in.

Dayton is 3-2 this season. They have losses to UNLV and Wisconsin (yesterday). The Wisconsin game was super sloppy and low scoring, but that’s kind of what the Badgers are going for. Dayton hates to be slowed down, they want to get out and run, which makes the NC State matchup a little more appealing to them.

Dayton doesn’t really have elite-level guards. Kobe Elvis, the sophomore, is 6’2, 170lbs. He’s long, but not super quick and he’s averaging 12 points per game, but he’s shooting just 23% from long range. He’s going to want to get to the rim to do his damage, but he’s not strong enough to consistently do that vs. the Pack’s guards. So where do they turn?

Their second-best guard, 6’6 Koby Brea didn’t travel to the Bahamas because of injury, so they’re left having to trust 6’0 sophomore Malekai Smith as their only other true guard. He’s just coming back from injury himself, but averaged 9 points last season, shooting 40% from 3pt range. However, he struggled vs. Wisconsin in his second game back, scoring just 2 points in 30 minutes, however, he did have 9 rebounds, 2 assist,s and 3 steals.

Again, these are the only two true guards that they played vs. Wisconsin and that’s going to be a problem with the Wolfpack’s relentless pressure from the backcourt. These guards are both too small and too weak to shut down the NC State backcourt.

That said, the Dayton front court is nothing to sneeze at.

6’10 sophomore DaRon Holmes is going to be a matchup problem. He’s one of these big, athletic forwards who is pretty physical and mobile. He’s not super coordinated, as in, he’s not going to take you out top and beat you off the dribble, or get you on the block and use some impressive footwork to get a back to the basket bucket. However, he runs the floor well, he’s a good shot blocker and he tries to dunk everything. Most of his points come on drop-offs from guards or from the break. He’s not great when you force him to play a set defense, but NC State’s bigs aren’t exactly that athletic. Mahorcic and Burns actually did a pretty good job on Adams for Kansas, but he’s just 6’7. Holmes is 6’10, so it will be interesting to see how they fare against this type of big (since they’ll see a lot of these types in the ACC).  Does their physicality and strength drown out the athleticism of Holmes or does Keatts need to use Dowuona a little more to match the length and athleticism?

Then there is his frontcourt mate, Mustapha Amzil, who is 6’9, 225lbs. Amzil is more agile and will attack off the dribble. He’s like a poor man’s version of Jalen Wilson (Kansas). He’s got the same type of game but he’s less athletic, not quite the shooter and not as polished. In fact, I think this is a great matchup for Jack Clark. Clark did a good job on Wilson yesterday, but as he tired down the stretch, Wilson was able to out-athlete him and get more physical with him. Amzil won’t be able to do that, so I think Clark can minimize the damage Amzil could do.

Then there is another 6’8, 220lb guy they throw out there. Toumani Camara. Camara is an athlete. This guy is just big, thick, and bouncy. He really can’t shoot, but he’s crafty on the drive and can elevate to finish. He is averaging 7 points and 12 boards. Morsell is going to have to match up with one of these 6’8 guys, and he’ll be giving up 5 inches, but he’s the Pack’s best defender, so if anyone is up for the challenge it’s him.

Keys for NC State

– Dayton is big and physical. They aren’t fast or quick , but they love to play uptempo. Kind of an interesting mix. NC State needs to keep them out of transition and that means, make shots. When you don’t, get back and stop the ball. Their guards aren’t dynamic, so staying in front of them and bottling them up shouldn’t be a huge concern if they can stay focused.

– Dayton is going to test NC State’s ability to rebound. The Pack matched an undersized Kansas front line in rebounding, but Dayton is going to cause problems. Their guards are great rebounders, and their front line is big, thick rebounders as well. They’re going to need Mahorci, Clark and Morsell to really get active on the boards if they want to limit second-chance points.

– Make Dayton shoot. This team is shooting just 26% from 3point range. They have only 2 real guards on the team right now. So it’s going to be a lopsided matchup. Does NC State exploit their lack of guards or does Dayton exploit NC State’s lack of athletic size? Usually the better guards win college basketball games, but NC State needs their guards to play at a high level and make up for the size disadvantage up front.

This game is at 4 pm on ESPN News.

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Papajohn
Papajohn
3 months ago

Well, reading the write up, it sounds like both teams will be putting their weakness against the other’s strengths, a model we’ll see again. This sounds like an opportunity to get Breon and LJ some meaningful court time so our ‘3 musketeers’ have fresh legs for the finish. They shouldn’t be as over matched as in yesterday’s game. As PI said, a great test for our bigs. Are we going to play smart and make them work for their points and boards, or do we get into foul trouble and have to lean on the guards to save us again?… Read more »

Dof87
Dof87
3 months ago

Surprised to see Dayton as a 3.5 pt favorite.

NC State Basketball

NC State’s Ebe Dowuona Enters Transfer Portal

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NC State Junior F/C Ebe Dowuona has entered the transfer portal, with two years of eligibility remaining.

This year, Ebe played in 30 games, averaging 1.7 points and 1.9 rebounds in 10.9 minutes per game. As a Sophomore, after the injury to Manny Bates in the first game of the season, Dowuona went on to start in 27 of the 31 games he played in, averaging 4.1 points and 4.1 rebounds per game.

I’m not shocked. I don’t blame Dowuona for wanting to find a place where he would get more playing time.

Nonetheless this is a hit to the Wolfpack’s front court. While he didn’t offer much on the offensive end, he continually altered shots on the defensive end.

Ernest Ross will be a Junior next year, and fans will likely get to see Freshman Isaiah Miranda for the first time after redshirting after arriving to Raleigh midseason. Greg Gantt will be a Redshirt Junior next season as well.

Other questions loom for the Wolfpack front court as well. Will DJ Burns and Jack Clark return for their final year of eligibility? Will Dusan Mahorcic be granted a medical waiver for an additional year of eligibility?

Time will tell.

We wish Ebe all the best!

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NC State Ranked in Top-25 in Men’s Basketball Attendance in 2022-23

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When it was all said and done, the NC State fans represented in 2022-23, ranking 20th amongst Division-1 teams in Men’s Basketball attendance. The Wolfpack ranked 4th in the ACC, behind UNC, Syracuse, and Virginia.

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NC State Basketball

Wolferetti: Feed me my crow. NC State lost to Creighton and I’m here to break it down (and admit I was wrong)

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I was wrong.

I thought this matchup was a good one for NC State. I watched a lot of Creighton this year and to me, they looked like a team that NC State could roll over. Let me explain why.

I knew a few things. I knew Nembhard was a PG that could get a little out of control if sped up. I knew with a little defense and physicality, Sheierman could be made uncomfortable. I knew Kalkbrenner was a good defender but was going to sink on the pick-and-roll to protect the basket.

Joiner’s pull up just wouldn’t fall

I figured that Joiner, the pull-up king would be taking that DJ Burns screen, getting to the middle, and pulling up as Kalkbrenner sank. I figured Smith would exploit this as well. Well, turns out Joiner was off and couldn’t get his pull-up game going and Smith, well yeah Smith did exploit this pretty well.

Burns didn’t look like Burns

The other thing I’d figure would happen is that I thought DJ Burns would really frustrate Kalkbrenner. If you’ve looked at games where Kalkbrenner had to face a really good, physical back-to-the-basket big man, those bigs usually had pretty good games in the scoring column.  I honestly don’t understand what happened to Burns in this one. Sure he got a few stupid early fouls, but before he even picked up a foul he looked out of it. With no double teams coming, Burns is usually calculated, slowly backing you down and hitting you with a flurry of head fakes, pump fakes or spins. If the big doesn’t bite, Burns can fade away, go with a contested hook shot, or pass out.

In this game, Burns looked sped up for some reason. The first time he got the ball he quickly backed in and threw up a hook that rattled out. Not awful, but usually you see him probe a little more. Then the next time he didn’t even look for contact, instead, he threw up a little floater that didn’t fall. While neither were awful shots, both were uncharacteristic of Burns. On top of those things, he looked absolutely gassed within minutes of coming in. My guess is that it was the altitude, but either way, it took a toll on him.

Whatever it was, it had him frustrated and he had two really bad fouls where he just shoved Kalkbrenner (he also had a phantom foul that was ridiculous). That said, it just wasn’t his night and this made NC State a lot more one-dimensional.

Casey Morsell came to play, but this NC State roster just wasn’t built to get a guy like him going, which is a shame. Jarkel Joiner was a huge reason why NC State got to where they got. His scoring ability, his speed and his toughness and leadership skill were huge. But Joiner is a scoring guard, and great basketball teams need POINT guards.

What is a point guard, and why can’t we have one?

A point guard isn’t just a guy who dribbles it down. It’s a guy who understands the games within the games. Guys who dictate pace, call plays (sets) and are essentially coaches on the floor. NC State and Kevin Keatts never had that this season, and while you can get a long way with scoring guards and good big men, you’ll never compete for anything of worth until you prioritize the skill set of a true point guard. I think that has been NC State’s problem for years, and I find it kind of insane that coach after coach falls into this idea of having a scoring guard play as a PG for more offense to get on the court.

This is no shot at Jarkel, either. The guy was one of my favorite players to watch on this team, but it just is what it is. He is a scoring guard who happens to be slotting in at PG. When you see Keatts bring in a guy whose priority is getting his guys open and dictating pace, then you can start to believe that this program may be close to arriving. Until then, sneaking into the tournament and hoping guys get hot hands is as good as it gets.

Look at Kihei Clark (Virginia’s PG). I know it’s not a great time to be talking about Clark, whose errant pass ended up losing the game for Virginia on Thursday, but look at Clark’s build.5’10, 170lbs. Look at his stats. Mid-30s shooting % from 3. Hight 70s from the FT line. The guy is nothing special when it comes to the numbers, but he’s a leader and he distributes the basketball to the right guys at the right time. Tony Bennett has started Clark for 4 years despite the fact that he’s coaching a team that is always in the running to win the ACC and won a national championship less than 5 years ago.  He could replace Clark with an elite, tall, athlete at any moment. But he doesn’t. Why? Because he understands what I’m talking about. It’s a puzzle that coaches need to put together, and one piece of that puzzle is a guy like this.

I was wrong about this game. I thought things would play out differently. They didn’t. I’m not blaming anyone in particular, but the makeup of this team vs. the makeup of teams that play deep into March are different. Maybe this is step one to getting there. We’ll have to see how the roster shapes up next season.

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VIDEO: NC State falls to Creighton 72-63 in first round of NCAA Tournament | Extended Highlights & Box Score

NC State came out flat, DJ Burns looked gassed, and for the most part, the Pack looked shell-shocked vs. Creighton from the opening tip. However, Terquavion Smith is excluded from all of that. He was amazing and in what was likely his final game at NC State, he kept the Pack afloat, dropping 32 points on 12-25 shooting. In the end, it wasn’t enough as their big man, 7’1 Ryan Kalkbrenner went for 31.

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NC State came out flat, DJ Burns looked gassed, and for the most part, the Pack looked shell-shocked vs. Creighton from the opening tip. However, Terquavion Smith is excluded from all of that. He was amazing and in what was likely his final game at NC State, he kept the Pack afloat, dropping 32 points on 12-25 shooting. In the end, it wasn’t enough as their big man, 7’1 Ryan Kalkbrenner went for 31.

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