NC State vs. #2 Duke: Odds, Spread, Total, Analysis

NC State (9-10, 2-6) will face off against #2 Duke (17-2, 9-0) tonight at 8:30 PM on ESPN. The Wolfpack is a 21.5-point underdogs, with the total points line set at 134.5. The moneyline for NC State is +3000, while Duke’s is -20000.

ESPN Analytics’ Matchup Predictor gives the Wolfpack a 3.6% chance of winning. KenPom rates NC State’s chance of victory at 2%, projecting the Blue Devils to win 77-55. Interestingly, KenPom predicts Duke to cover the spread by half a point.

• NC State is 6-13 against the spread (ATS).
• Duke is 12-7 ATS.
• The total has gone under in 13 of NC State’s 19 games.
• The total has gone under in 12 of Duke’s 19 games.
• In away games, NC State is 0-4 ATS.
• Duke is 7-4 ATS in home games.
• NC State is 0-8 straight up (SU) when they are underdogs.
  • They are 1-7 ATS in those games.
• Duke is 16-2 SU when favored and 11-7 ATS as favorites.
• NC State has won 4 of the last 10 games against Duke SU.
  • They are 6-4 ATS in those games.
• The total has gone under in 6 of the last 10 games between NC State and Duke.
• NC State is 1-4 ATS in their last 75games.
• The total has gone under in 4 of their last 5 games.
• Duke is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The total has gone under in 3 of Duke’s last 5 games.

Here’s a look at the series between the Wolfpack and the Blue Devils over the past 25 years, with spread and Over/Under results included.

NC State 2024-25

Duke 2024-25