NC State vs. Louisville: Odds, Spread, Total, Analysis

NC State (9-14/2-10) will host Louisville (18-6/11-2) tonight at 7 PM on ESPN2. The Wolfpack is a 6.5-point underdog, with the total points line set at 142.5. The moneyline for NC State is +250, while Louisville’s is -300.

ESPN Analytics’ Matchup Predictor gives the Wolfpack a 41% chance of winning. KenPom rates NC State’s chance of victory at 30%, projecting the Cardinals to win 73-67, which would fail to cover the spread by 0.5 a point.

• NC State is 8-15 against the spread (ATS).
• Louisville is 14-10 ATS.
• The total has gone under in 15 of NC State’s 23 games.
• The total has gone under in 16 of Louisville’s 24 games.
• NC State is 6-8 ATS at home.
• Louisville is 7-1 ATS in away games.
• NC State is 0-12 straight up (SU) when they are underdogs.
  • They are 3-9 ATS in those games.
• Louisville is 14-4 SU when favored and 9-9 ATS as favorites.
• NC State is 5-5 SU in their last 10 games against Louisville.
  • They are 3-7 ATS in those games.
  • The total has gone under in half of those games.
• NC State is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The total has gone under in 3 of their last 5 games.
• Louisville is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The total has gone under in 3 of Louisville’s last 5 games.

NC State 2024-25

Louisville 2024-25