NC State vs. UNC: Odds, Spread, Total, Analysis

NC State (10-15/3-11) will play at UNC (15-11/8-6) tonight at 7PM on ESPN. The Wolfpack is a 9.5-point underdog, with the total points line set at 146.5. The moneyline for NC State is +400, while UNC is -600.

ESPN Analytics’ Matchup Predictor gives the Wolfpack a 15.7% chance of winning. KenPom rates NC State’s chance of victory at 15%, projecting the Wolfpack to lose 68-80, which wouldn’t cover the spread.

• NC State is 8-17 against the spread (ATS).
• UNC is 7-18-1 ATS.
• The total has gone under in 16 of NC State’s 25 games.
• The total has gone under in half of UNC’s games.
• NC State is 2-5 ATS in away games.
• UNC is 4-7 ATS in home games.
• NC State is 0-13 straight up (SU) when they are underdogs.
  • They are 4-9 ATS in those games.
• UNC is 14-3 SU as favorites and 5-12 ATS.
• NC State is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against UNC.
  • They are 5-5 ATS in those games.
  • The total has gone under in half of those games.
• NC State is 2-10 SU in their last 10 games in Chapel Hill.
• NC State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The total has gone over in 3 of their last 5 games.
• UNC is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The total has gone over in 3 of UNC’s last 5 games.

NC State 2024-25

UNC 2024-25