NC State vs. Virginia Betting Preview: Odds, Trends, Lines and What the Numbers Say

After defeating Pitt 98-88 yesterday in the 2nd Round, NC State advanced to play Virginia today in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 ACC Tournament. The Wolfpack is a 6.5-point underdog against the Cavaliers, and the Total is sitting at 148.5.

Moneyline

NC State: +195
UVA: -238

Against the Spread

• NC State: 15-17 ATS overall
• NC State as an underdog: 1-4 straight up and ATS
• UVA: 16-15 ATS overall
• UVA when favored: 24-3 straight up and 13-14 ATS

Totals Trends

• NC State has gone Over in 20 of 32 games
• UVA has gone Under in 19 of 31 games

Straight-Up & Home/Road Splits

• NC State is 3-2 straight up in neutral site games
• They are 3-2 ATS in neutral site games
• UVA is 3-1 straight up in neutral site games
• They are 2-2 ATS in neutral site games

Series History

• NC State is 4-6 straight up in their last 10 games against UVA
• They are 4-4-1 ATS in that span
• The Total has gone Over in half of those games

Recent Form

• NC State: 1-4 ATS in last five games
• UVA: 1-4 ATS in last five games
• Over has hit in 4 of the last 5 games for NC State
• Under has hit in 3 of the last 5 games for UVA

NC State

Virginia