NC State vs. #1 Duke: What are the “Experts” Predicting?

NC State will host #1 Duke this evening in the Lenovo Center. Currently, the Wolfpack is a 9.5-point underdog, and the Total is sitting at 148.5.

Here’s how the “experts” see it playing out?

OddShark: Duke will win, Cover the Spread and the Total will go Over
ESPN: NC State has a 19.5% chance of winning
KenPom: Duke 79 NC State 70
Bart Torvik: Duke 79 NC State 71
Action Network: Duke will cover the Spread, up to -12
USAToday: Duke 80 NC State 67, Duke Covers the Spread and take the Under
Sports Gambler: Take Duke with the Moneyline, and to Cover the Spread. The Blue Devils have a 53.5% chance to Cover.
Dimers: Duke 78 NC State 69
FanDuel: Duke has a 69.4% chance of winning

The consensus leans heavily toward Duke handling business in Raleigh, with most models projecting a margin in the 8–13 point range.

The question tonight: does the data win, or does rivalry energy flip the script?