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It’s Selection Sunday: Where do the experts predict NC State to land?

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You play all season with the goal of just getting the shot to play for a National Championship in March. Whether or not you get that chance is up to a committee of experts who use numerous factors in choosing the nations top 64 teams (well they actually only choose 36 at-large teams, but you get what I’m saying.)

Those experts will reveal their decision tonight at 6pm on TBS on the NCAA Tournament Selection Show. Some teams have done enough to punch their ticket, others are on the edge of their seat waiting to see if they’ll get in.

NC State is somewhere in the middle. They haven’t exactly ‘punched their ticket’ but they also aren’t really on the bubble. NC State fans shouldn’t be too nervous tonight about whether or not their team gets in, instead they should be more interested in what seed they get and what draw they’ll have.

What should they base that feeling on? Well, there is no shortage of experts willing to weigh in on what they think the field will look like, however some or better than others. Really, the best way to get a notion on where your team will end up is to look at the collective picture and go from there.

With that being said, let’s go ahead and do that…

Bracket Matrix9 or 10 seed
This site takes 100 predictions (some expert, some more amateur) and averages them out. They have NC State getting in the tournament in 96 of the 100 scenarios and has them averaging a 9.5 seed. That means they’re most likely to fall in as a 9 or 10 seed.

Dance Card9 seed
The Dance Card is a formula designed to predict which teams will receive at-large tournament bids from the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee. The formula has correctly predicted 209 of 218 at-large bids over the last six years combined (96%). This is one of the most trusted metrics out there. They have the Pack as the 34th seeded team (making them a 9 seed) and giving them a 100% chance of getting in.

ESPN’s Bracketology9 seed
Joe Lunardi’s entire job is to figure out the Field of 64. He updates his bracket predictions daily this time of year and takes everything into account. He’s up to date on which teams won which conference tournament, so he’s as up to date as it gets. He has State as a 9 seed playing Butler in the Midwest region.

CBS Bracket Predictions9 seed
Jerry Palm is right up there with Joe Lunardi as far as experts who follow everything NCAA Tourney related. Palm also has NC State as a 9 seed in the Midwest region, but he has them matched up against Providence.

NBC Bracket Predictions10 seed
NBC seems to be trailing behind this March in their bracket predictions. They haven’t made an update today yet, but as of yesterday, they had NC State as a 10 seed playing against Seton Hall. Honestly, NC State falling to a 10 seed isn’t the worst thing. Sure you play a little better of an opponent in game 1, but then you move on to play #2. As an 8 or a 9 seed you face #1 in the round of 32.

Yahoo! Big Board7 seed
Yahoo! doesn’t do brackets, but they do predict seeding and they are bullish on the Wolfpack. They have them as a 7 seed. They seem to put more weight on quality wins than on SOS. I think with a win over GT or BC NC State would have been looking at a 6 or a 7 seed, but after losing both it’s looking less likely they will climb that high.

NCAA’s Andy Katz6 seed
Katz, like Yahoo, doesn’t do brackets but he does do a Power 36 list where he ranks the top teams in the game. He has the Wolfpack at 24, which would equate to the final 6 seed slot. Katz has been on the NC State train since the win at UNC and he still seems to be riding it. Like Yahoo! Katz isn’t putting as much weight on the quadrant system or the SOS, and looking more at who you beat and where you beat them, which in our mind is a much smarter way to see how good a team is.

Sports Illustrated7 seed
SI does do brackets and they have NC State as a 7 seed playing against Texas in the Midwest region. It seems to be two schools of thought working their way out here. Some are taking the NCAA by their word and looking at the quadrants, which rely heavily on RPI, which relies heavily on strength of schedule. Then there are the others who think the committee uses those numbers as resources to seperate teams that are identical, but seeds mainly based on who you beat, how you beat them and where you beat them. The latter seems to pull the Pack into the 6 or 7 range, while the former has them as a 9 or 10.

So there you have it. NC State is sitting in the 6-10 range in every bracket with the majority believing they’ll land as 9.

What do you think? Let us know your predictions below in our comment section or in our forums (where we also are opening up a “Bracket Challenge” free for all Wolfpack fans.

NC State Basketball

VIDEO: Devon Daniels preparing to shoulder the load for NC State

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Devon Daniels may be new to NC State, but he knows that a lot is going to be asked of him this season.

When you look at the Wolfpack roster, most people key on Markell Johnson and Torin Dorn as the keys to the season. It makes sense. These guys are known entities, but just as important to the success of the Wolfpack is Daniels.

The transfer from Utah is the one guy on the roster who has the skillset to fill in for last year’s leading scorer Al Freeman.

Of course, this team is going to want to run. They are going to play fast and look to get out on the break, but there will be a lot of times when things slow down, or when plays break down. Those situations are where Al Freeman bailed out the Pack time after time, and this year that job is going to fall on the shoulders of Devon Daniels.

From the looks of it, he’s taking that role pretty seriously.

Daniels averaged 10 points in only 27 minutes per game last season. He shot an impressive 57% from the floor and a juicy 40% from long range. It’s safe to say that the kid proved he can score it. However, at Utah, he was a role player. At NC State he’s going to be relied on for a lot more.

Forced to sit last season due to transfer rules, Daniels got his body ACC ready, polished up his skill set and even added a little more bounce to his game.

Everyone knows that preseasons videos are mostly just fuel for the hype-train, but Daniels has posted videos like this before and it seems as if this type of workout is less the exception and more the norm. And if that’s the case, then NC State fans have a good reason to get excited.


Want to discuss whether or not Devon Daniels is going to live up to the hype? We’re talking about it here on the message boards.

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OUR TAKE: An in-depth look at NC State’s non-conference schedule

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Earlier today, the full 2018-19 NC State basketball schedule was announced.

There had been games announced here and there, and the ACC docket was already set, but this is the first time we’ve seen the full non-conference schedule and it’s pretty interesting.

Here are some of our notes and thoughts on the early season matchups…

  • NC State plays their first 6 games at home and they should be relatively easy. That is a good thing. This is a team with a lot of new pieces, and it’s going to take a little while for this group to get kicking on all cylinders. (It may also take time for these guys to get used to the substitution patterns in Keatts system.)
  • NC State plays at Wisconsin in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. This will be the team’s first road game and will be their first true test. Wisconsin is coming off a tough season in which they finished 9th in their conference. However, they have a ton of returning talent including their star forward Ethan Happ (who averaged 17 ppg last season.)
  • Less than a week later, they play a rebuilt Vanderbilt team in Miami.  A tough turnaround for the Pack as they head from Wisconsin to Miami, Florida for the HoopHall Invitational to face off against Vandy. This is another big name school who struggled last year, finishing 12-20 and coming in 2nd to last in the SEC. However, they have some big-time freshman joining them in 2018. Darius Garland is the #14 player in this class and the #2 PG. Head coach Bryce Drew compared him to Trae Young over the summer. They are also adding the #11 player in the class (and #3 PF) Simisola Shittu. Add on that they have two good bigs who transferred in and are eligible this year (Yanni Wetzell and Matt Ryan) and Vandy seems to have a very good shot at improving on their disastrous 2017-18 season.
  • Then NC State takes on Western Carolina at Reynolds. This is the first that we’ve heard that WCU would be the Reynolds game, but it makes sense. Former NC State assistant (who was also the former WCU head coach) Larry Hunter, recently passed away and will likely be honored during this game.
  • NC State takes on Penn State in Atlantic City. This is a game for the “Boardwalk Classic” which isn’t a tournament, but more like a day where a bunch of teams play in Atlantic City, NJ. The Pack beat Penn State last season 85-78 in a ‘grind-it-out’ kind of game but was lit up by Tony Carr for 29 points. Lucky for Keatts and company, Carr is in the NBA now, so that threat has passed. However, Penn State is no pushover. They finished 9-9 in the Big Ten, good for 6th place (and an eventual NIT championship). This year their main guy will be Lamar Stevens. He’s a junior who really came into his own last season. He dropped 13 against the Pack last year but really got things going at the end of the year. His 28 points outburst in the NIT Championship sets the stage for his coming out party in 2018-19.
  • NC State takes on #10 Auburn on Dec 19th. The Tigers, led by Bruce Pearl, were one of the more surprising teams of 2017-18. They finished with the second most wins in program history (26) and notched a 4-seed in the NCAA Tournament. If you watched Auburn last season, you know that they play an uptempo, defensive heavy brand of basketball. This should make for a really fun, fast-paced matchup. While they did lose a few key guys from last season (Mustapha Heron), they are returning star guard Jared Harper. He’s a junior who was the team’s 3rd leading scorer and put up 5.4 assists per game. While he’s only 5’10, he can really create and has near unlimited range. They also bring back guard Bryce Brown, the team’s second-leading scorer from a season ago. But the biggest news is the return of former 5-star, 6’11 monster, Austin Wiley, who was suspended last season in connection with the sweeping FBI investigation around college basketball. Wiley almost entered the draft, but he decided to come back, giving Auburn an elite big to pair with their dangerous duo of guards. This matchup is easily the toughest of NC State’s non-conference schedule.
  • They finish with 2 winnable games heading into conference play – USC Upstate and Loyola Maryland close out the non-conference schedule. After going through a bit of a gauntlet in late November to mid-December, they finally get a few games to work out some kinks heading into their ACC opener vs. Miami

As you can see, NC State has what I think is a decent non-conference schedule. They open up with some easier games which will give them time to gel and figure themselves out. Then they play some good (but beatable) teams in late November and cap it off with their biggest test yet… #10 Auburn.

It seems like this layout allows the Pack to ramp up at a nice cadence. This is helpful seeing as it’s going to be their first season playing the way the Keatts’ system was meant to be played.

This schedule does give them chances for a few resume builders before conference rolls around, but they’ll need to take advantage of those few chances or it will hurt them come March.

 


Want to talk about the non-conference schedule or see what other State fans think? We are discussing it right here in the forum.

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RELEASE: NC State Announces 2018-19 Men’s Basketball Schedule

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RALEIGH, N.C. – The NC State men’s basketball team released its full 2018-19 schedule on Thursday. The Pack will play 31 regular season games, including 19 home games as NC State aims to return to the NCAA Tournament for the second consecutive season under second-year head coach Kevin Keatts.

The 2018-19 schedule features 10 games against opponents that made the NCAA Tournament last season.

The Wolfpack opens the season with six consecutive home games inside PNC Arena. NC State’s regular season opener will be on Tuesday, Nov. 6 against Mount St. Mary’s and they will return to the court on Saturday, Nov. 10 against Maryland Eastern Shore. The next two weeks follow the same Tuesday-to-Saturday pattern as the Pack will host UNC Asheville on Tuesday, Nov. 13, Maine on Saturday, Nov. 17, Saint Peter’s on Tuesday, Nov. 20 and will close the season-opening homestand on Saturday, Nov. 24 by hosting Mercer. The games against Maryland Eastern Shore, Maine, Saint Peter’s and Mercer are all part of the Wolfpack Classic.

The Pack will play its first road game of the season when it travels to Madison, Wis., to take on Wisconsin on Tuesday, Nov. 27 as part of the ACC-Big Ten Challenge. The game against the Badgers starts a streak where NC State will play Power-5 opponents in four of five games.

NC State will start off December by taking on Vanderbilt on Saturday, Dec. 1 in Miami, Fla., as part of the HoopHall Miami Invitational. The Pack will return to Raleigh and host Western Carolina on Wednesday, Dec. 5 in the annual Heritage Game played at Reynolds Coliseum. After a 10-day layoff to complete the fall academic semester, NC State will head to Atlantic City, N.J., to play Penn State on Saturday, Dec. 15 in the Boardwalk Classic. The Pack will close the non-conference portion of the schedule with three consecutive home games, hosting Auburn on Wednesday, Dec. 19, USC Upstate on Saturday, Dec. 22 and Loyola University Maryland on Friday, Dec. 28.

Start times and television designations for non-conference home games have not been determined and will be announced at a later date.

For the fourth consecutive season, the Wolfpack opens ACC play on the road as the Pack begins conference play on Thursday, Jan. 3 at Miami.

The Pack will host rival UNC-Chapel Hill on Tuesday, Jan. 8 in its ACC home-opener and stay home to host Pittsburgh on Saturday, Jan. 12.

After the two-game homestand, NC State will play its next three games on the road as the Pack will travel to Wake Forest (Tues., Jan. 15), Notre Dame (Sat., Jan. 19) and Louisville (Thu., Jan. 24).

NC State will then enter the portion of its schedule that will see it play six of its next seven games against teams that advanced to the NCAA Tournament last season. They open with three consecutive home games against NCAA Tournament teams as the Pack will host Clemson on Saturday, Jan. 26, Virginia on Tuesday, Jan. 29 and Virginia Tech on Sat., Feb. 2. NC State will return to the road to play at UNC-Chapel Hill on Tuesday, Feb. 5 and Pittsburgh on Sat., Feb. 9 and close the stretch with a home game against Syracuse on Wednesday, Feb. 13 and a road contest at Duke on Saturday, Feb. 16.

The Pack closes the month of February with home games against Boston College on Wednesday, Feb. 20 and Wake Forest on Sunday, Feb. 24.

In March, NC State will finish the regular season with a road contest at Florida State on Saturday, March 2, host its final home game of the season on Wednesday, March 6 when Georgia Tech visits and complete the ACC schedule with a game at Boston College on Saturday, March 9

The ACC Tournament will be played in the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. and will run from March 12-16.

Season tickets for the 2018-19 season are on-sale now. Mini-packs and single game tickets will go on sale at a later date. Check GoPack.com/MBBTickets for more information regarding on sale dates.

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ACC Announces Sites for Next 4 Men’s Basketball Tournaments

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The ACC revealed that the 2021 ACC Men’s Basketball Tournament will be in Washington D.C., and it will be in Brooklyn, New York in 2022. With those destinations revealed, we know where the next 4 ACC Men’s Basketball Tournaments will be.

The last time the tournament was in…

Charlotte – 2008
Greensboro – 2015
Washington D.C. – 2016
Brooklyn – 2018

How many times each city has hosted…

Greensboro, NC – 27
Raleigh, NC – 13
Charlotte, NC – 12
Atlanta, GA – 6
Landover, MD – 3
Washington D.C. – 2
Brooklyn, NY –
Tampa, FL – 1

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