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Gameday Cheatsheet: How does NC State match up against undefeated Ole Miss?

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The Game:
NC State (4-1) is in Mississippi to take on the Rebels of Ole Miss, who are currently undefeated at 5-0.

How to Watch:
Tip-off is at 9 pm EST and the game is televised on EPSN2.

The Odds:
Ole Miss may be slight Vegas favorites (-1.5) against the Pack, but KenPom’s data says NC State wins this one by 3.

The Records Coming In:
The Rebels might be 5-0 but that record might be a little deceiving, seeing as their largest margin of victory is only 10 points, and that was at home against Alabama St. They then beat Eastern Washington by 9, Detroit Mercy by 1, and Same Houston State by 3 (All 3 at home). They then traveled to Temple (who had just lost to Columbia), and beat them by only 1.

So, yeah, Ole Miss is winning games, but none of those wins are all that convincing, and their Strength of Schedule currently sits at 215 out of 362. Meanwhile, the Pack is 4-1 with their strength of schedule sitting at 68th.

Getting to know Ole Miss:
If you want to get a good idea of the type of game the Rebels like to play, check out these highlights from their 1 point win over Temple just a week ago.

They are an experienced, guard-oriented team led by 6’6″ Senior Allen Flanigan, 6’4″ Senior Matthew Murrell and 5’11” Junior Jaylen Murray. They also rely on 6’4″ Sophomore TJ Caldwell coming off the bench for outside shooting.

The guys you need to worry about from beyond the arc are Murray and Cladwell, and while Flanigan is leading the team at 50% from long range, he’s only 4-8 on the season, meaning he doesn’t like to rely on the 3 for his points. Flanigan is going to put pressure on the defense by driving to the rim and finishing in traffic.

Inside, the Rebels rely on 6’8″ Senior Jaemyn Brakefield and 7’5″ (yes, you read that right) Senior Jamarion Sharp. Neither guy is really a banger, and despite being super tall, Sharp is pretty frail and easily moved around under the hoop.

How NC State matches up:
This is a pretty good matchup for NC State. There really isn’t a true mismatch anywhere on the court. While a lot of teams may have trouble with the 3 guard lineup that Ole Miss will put out there, Keatts is also going to be running 3 guards out there. Brakefield is going to play a majority of the minutes at the 4, but the combo of Diarra and Parker should be able to handle him just fine. Meanwhile, at the 5, Sharpe will likely play most of the minutes, but he’s going to struggle against Burns, who has 40 pounds on him.

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wolfpack74
wolfpack74
2 months ago

Fire KK. He is useless. His style will not win.

wolfpack74
wolfpack74
2 months ago

Looks like, not at all.

NC State Basketball

Thoughts on NC State’s 83-87 Loss to Syracuse

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NC State’s (16-10/8-7) 83-87 loss to Syracuse this evening might have been the nail-in-the-coffin when it comes to the Wolfpack’s NCAA Tournament aspirations. They were barely on the bubble as it was, but this game and the next two games against Boston College and Florida State were “must wins.” On top of that, the Wolfpack probably needed to beat Pitt in the regular season finale, and beat either Duke or UNC.

With this loss, NC State will need a miracle. They will need to win the rest of their regular season games, which concludes with 3 consecutive Quad 1 games.

In regards to this evenings game, it’s hard to beat a team when you allow them to shoot 61.3% in the first half, and allow a guy who averages 11.3 points per game (Chris Bell) to sink 8 of 9 three’s at the halfway mark. Sure, you could make the excuse that they were just hitting everything they threw up, but the defense was lackluster, and they failed to adjust to a player with a hot hand.

What I’m about to say isn’t meant to describe a moral victory for NC State. With that being said, this team didn’t give up, and clawed back from a 15-point halftime deficit (16-point at one point in the 2nd half), to take a 1-point lead with 3:15 left in the game. That was the first time the Wolfpack had led since it was 2-0.

Senior DJ Horne was sensational once again, scoring 25+ points for the 5th straight game, matching what Cat Barber did back in 2015-16. Horne finished with 32 points, hitting 11 of his 20 field goal attempts, and an insane 6 of 8 from three.

Could you argue that Horne was fouled on the last play? I guess, but I wouldn’t have called it.

Three other Wolfpack players scored in double figures: Ben Middlebrooks (12), DJ Burns (12) and Jayden Taylor (10). Honestly, they all shot well. Middlebrooks had a double-double, with 10 rebounds.

Mohamed Diarra was solid with 7 points (3-6) and 8 boards.

Syracuse came back to reality in the second half, and ended up shooting 51% from the field, but the Wolfpack shot 47%. Both teams shot well. In fact, NC State actually scored more points off of turnovers, had more second chance points and had more free throws.

You simply can’t put yourself in a position to dig yourself out of a 16-point deficit. You can’t allow a guy to make 8 of 9 three’s in the opening half, with 6 of them being practically uncontested.

The Wolfpack have lost 3 of the last 4, and all 3 losses have been by 4 points or less. I wouldn’t say the Pack lost any of those three games due to a lack of effort. Rather, I would say it was primarily due to inconsistency, a lack of discipline and poor decisions in timely moments (Jayden Taylor’s TO with 1:13 left with the game tied).

With Wake Forest beating Pitt tonight, a Wolfpack win would have put them in 4th place in the ACC.

A big missed opportunity for the Pack this evening.

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NC State Basketball

NC State 83 Syracuse 87: BOX SCORE

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NC State has now lost 7 straight to Syracuse, falling to the Orange 83-87 in PNC Arena this evening. Below is the Box Score.

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NC State Basketball

DJ Horne is Looking to Continue His Streak of 20+ Points or More

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NC State is trying to stop a 6-game losing streak to Syracuse tonight, but Senior Wolfpack Guard DJ Horne is trying to continue a streak.

Currently, Horne has scored 20+ points in 5 straight games, which is tied with what Terquavion Smith did last year. If Horne scores 20+ points tonight, his 6-game streak will be the longest since 2015-16, when Cat Barber strung together 7 straight games of 20+ points.

Horne also has scored 25+ points in 4 straight games. If he does so again tonight, he will be the first player to do so since Barber did so in 2015-16, when he scored 25+ in 5-straight games.

What Horne has done in his coming home campaign has been nothing short of remarkable. He is shooting 43.4% from three, which ranks 2nd in the ACC. In his last 18 games, Horne is shooting 46.6% from deep. In ACC play, Horne is averaging 19.3 points per game, which ranks 2nd in the conference.

Here’s what Horne’s numbers look like over his 5-game streak of 20+ points: 26.6 points/51.8 FG%/48.8 3PT%.

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NC State Basketball

NC State is Looking to Snap a 6-Game Losing Streak to Syracuse

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NC State might be a 5.5-point favorite this evening agains Syracuse, but beating the Orange hasn’t been easy for the Wolfpack over the past couple of years. Syracuse has defeated NC State in 6 consecutive games.

The 6-game losing streak is the Wolfpack’s longest current losing streak. The Pack are in familiar territory, after snapping a 6-game losing streak to Clemson their last time out.

Kevin Keatts started off his tenure in Raleigh by beating the Orange in 3 consecutive games, but has lost the last 6 obviously.

The last time NC State defeated Syracuse was on February 11th, 2020, winning 79-74 on the road. The last time the Wolfpack beat Syracuse at home was the year before, winning decisively 73-58 in PNC Arena on February 13th, 2019.

In three of the losses, the Wolfpack was upset.

 

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